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financial-ml

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Trabajo de Fin de Grado en Ingeniería Matemática: Sistema de predicción direccional de Bitcoin mediante modelos de machine learning (LightGBM) y análisis de sentimiento (RoBERTa). Investigación sobre integración multimodal en mercados financieros.

  • Updated Jun 30, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

End-to-end ML pipeline that predicts BTC/USDT price direction (4h horizon) using XGBoost + Optuna + SHAP. 9-phase architecture, Walk-Forward Validation across 15 folds, 37 technical indicators, 98 automated tests. ROC-AUC: 0.5431.

  • Updated Mar 22, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

Credit default prediction using dynamic feature importance reweighting that adapts during training. Combines gradient-based feature attribution with temporal curriculum learning to progressively emphasize the most predictive features for different risk segments. The novel contribution is an adaptive loss weighting mechanism that rebalances feature

  • Updated Feb 21, 2026
  • Python

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